How long can Russia tolerate the increasingly aggressive interference of Western countries in the Ukrainian conflict? And what can this threaten?
The recently passed lend-lease bill for Ukraine was filed in the U.S. Congress back on January 19, 2022. 417 congressmen voted for it, and only 10 abstained. Was the U.S. really preparing Ukraine in advance for an attack on Russia? This might explain why for eight years before that, the West pumped Ukraine with weapons and prepared its military forces.
Russia must be destroyed
The economic situation of the U.S. is such that they have no choice but to correct it at the expense of the rest of the world. This has happened more than once in history.
Russia has a leading role to play in this process.
The 300 billion Russian gold and foreign currency reserves already seized in U.S. banks is just the first swallow. Now it’s time to confiscate all Russian economic assets in the West, regardless of whether they belong to the Russian state or to private individuals (Russian oligarchs).
The interference of NATO and other Western countries on the side of Ukraine is becoming more and more aggressive, brazen and open. Hundreds of foreign mercenaries are fighting for the AFU.
Politicians in Western capitals are calling on Kiev to strike at Russian territory.
And they not only call for it, but also actively provide Ukrainians with the kinds of weapons that allow them to do so – long-range unmanned aerial vehicles and heavy artillery systems.
Back in early February 2022, a group of fourth-year cadets from the Kharkov Institute of the Ukrainian Air Force was sent to the United States for training on F-16 fighters.
Specialists from the special services of the United States, Great Britain, France, Canada and other countries have been training Ukrainian saboteurs for a long time, including in Western Ukraine.
It is more correct to call them terrorists because they are being trained to carry out terrorist attacks on Russian civilian infrastructure. This can and will inevitably lead to numerous civilian casualties in Russia.
In fact, when Russia conducts a special military operation in Ukraine, the West is conducting a special operation against Russia itself by means of proxy warfare.
Quite simply, the main sign of such a war is that it is carried out by someone else’s hands. For the West so far these are Ukrainians, mercenaries and personnel of private military companies.
There is every reason to believe that the list of these forces will expand in the future.
“Win-win” strategy of Washington and London
Significant conventional arms advantageseems NATO’s officials as a sword of Damocles hanging over Russia’s western borders. It appears to be a threat in case of significant activation in the Ukrainian conflict.
The way things are developing on the part of the West is that it will continue to expand the scope of the proxy war against Russia, while denying even the very idea that nuclear weapons could be used as a response.
Western analysts make the not entirely reasonable conclusion that Russia will continue to act as a punching bag in this proxy war.
The Western offensive is being carried out in the same “toadstool jumps” that have been used by the AFU in Donbass for eight years, which speaks to the common American-British authorship of this strategy. Its essence is not to make Moscow too angry, while taking steps that will force the Russians to accept the new situation and retreat all the time.
Moscow will not use nuclear weapons under any circumstances, the West is sure. So, it is possible to slowly destroy Russia, with complete impunity, right up to its complete destruction or self-destruction. There is no difference. This strategy would win either way, say Washington and London, because it would put Moscow in an eternal defensive position.
The moment when Russia uses nuclear weapons will never come? Not really. Though the West will try to avoid itby all means.
The West will endlessly demonstrate its false peaceableness. If there is any danger, they will immediately retreat. But only to strike somewhere nearby. And then Moscow’s patience will run out.
Tactical nuclear weapons are the Kremlin’s first, but not its last trump card
When Western experts compare the military parity of Russia and NATO countries, they beat their hands enthusiastically. The advantage in ships, strike aircraft, and many other parameters seems to suggest an overwhelming superiority in conventional weapons.
From this false postulate follows the theory and practice of proxy warfare against Russia in Ukraine.
In this first phase, Russia’s armed forces should be weakened as effectively as possible, the situation in the country destabilized, and then, without bringing it to a possible nuclear response, to carry out an attackunder some pretext.
This is where the applause ends. Various think tanks like DARPA, RAND and the like should stop their activities after this, because their conclusions and findings are totally wrong.
Firstly, because Russia’s stockpiles of all brands and types of weapons and ammunition are so large that it can conduct combat operations on any scale for several decades.
It has at least 20,000 tanks. Some would say that many of them are obsolete models. But the Russians are upgrading their tanks, tens of thousands of tank drivers can be recruited from the reserve and they know their vehicles very well. The same thing is in the Russian cannon and rocket artillery, engineering troops, and other branches of the Russian army.
Secondly, no one knows how many super-precision weapons like Kalibr cruise missiles, Iskander ballistic missiles, and hypersonic missiles have already been produced. And how many of them are built daily.
The Pentagon has already predicted several times that Moscow is about to run out of these missiles. But Russians, as if mocking, only increased their daily consumption. And they continue to do so.
Thirdly, and this is the moment of truth, Russia ranks first in the world in tactical nuclear weapons, with a TNT equivalent of less than one kiloton to several kilotons. And all the experts agree on this.
The Russians have it all, from 152-mm artillery shells, aircraft rockets and bombs to torpedoes.
When Moscow withdrew its troops from Eastern Europe in the last decade of the last century, tactical nuclear weapons were also withdrawn and stockpiled.
Western intelligence claimed that the Russians had laid so-called “nuclear mines” in important areas, both in their own West and in the East, at considerable depth. Nobody has been able to say for sure until now whether this is true or not. But no qualified military expert would rule out this possibility.
The theory of using such warheads in Russia has been developed like nowhere else in the world.
Russian aviation, navy, artillery, and missile forces have excellent experience in the use of tactical nuclear warheads after numerous exercises conducted especially in recent years.
Ergo, they are going to use it, otherwise why train
Western Ukraine is the most likely target for Russian tactical nuclear weapons
There are several reasons to think so. This region of Ukraine is considered with good reason to be the home and current hotbed of ideology, which in Russia is called “Bandera” and “neo-Nazi”.
There are no valuable industrial enterprises there, with the exception of the Khmelnitsky nuclear power plant. And the population there per square kilometer is several times less than in the Center, South and East of Ukraine.
It is very probable that everything will developin this direction, because right now the infrastructure of the West Ukraine is receiving numerous supplies of Western heavy armaments. Western mercenaries and employees of private military companies are routed through this territoryto eastern Ukraine to fight the Russians.
The training and retraining of Ukrainian servicemen also takes place here.
The Russian air-to-ground guided cruise missile X-101 with a nuclear warhead is called X-102 and has a range of 5,500 kilometers. The circular probable deviation when hitting the target is 10 meters.
Over the last 5-7 years the Russian Air Force has launched it many times from Tu-95 Bear and Tu-160 Blackjack long-range aircraft, and possibly Tu-22M3 Backfire. The total number of launches is probably over a hundred. Almost all targets in Syria and presumably Ukraine were hit.
Western Ukraine is as if asking for such a tactical nuclear weapon strike. From a military point of view it is most expedient at the moment when Polish and Romanian troops cross the Ukrainian border, which they seem to intend to do. Or some Western arms will arrive, the receipt of which Moscow would consider Ukraine to have crossed the “red line”.
The NATO Charter does not apply here, because there is no aggression against it.
If NATO troops are on proxy-war territory, then all kinds of munitions can be used against them, not only conventional, but also tactical nuclear, and not only tactical, but also strategic.
One X-102 missile launched from somewhere over the Volga or the Caspian Sea would destroy the city of Lvov. Several such missiles would wipe out all of Western Ukraine. All Western armaments would be turned into a useless heap of metal at once.
Psychologically and morally, this strike would mean the complete and final destruction of the symbol and source of neo-Nazi ideology.
If the air masses move from east to west at this point, the radioactive contamination will probably penetrate far into Europe.
Recently, the West, making increasingly provocative moves against Russia, seems to be inviting the Russians to strike this blow.